Be careful about a ‘am I missing the big rally?' feeling. It's a seductive feeling, but like having an affair with a co-worker (remember, you're married), it can only lead to trouble. Be patient. Wait for pullbacks and search for higher-probability chart setups on quality stocks.
If you are an ETF trader, the iShares ETF based on the MSCI EAFE Index composed of large- and mid-capitalization developed market equities, excluding the U.S. and Canada, has been trading within a well-defined downward-sloping trading range. This ETF (symbol EFA) gives exposure to a broad range of companies in Europe, Australia, Asia, and the Far East.
If you believe these foreign markets will be bouncing back, this is one type of higher-probability trade setup that could lead to a very profitable trade. An upside breakout of the trading range could easily return EFA to October 2015 highs around 62, or even May 2015 highs around 69.
EFA has only 14 years of history, but it still has a good seasonal track record. Over the next 5 weeks, EFA has gained an average 3.2% with gains in 12 out of the 14 years.
True, a 3.2% gain doesn't sound like much. But after similar pullbacks in 2008 and 2009, EFA responded with gains of 8.4% and 8.9% over the next 5 weeks. It could happen again.
Of course, there's much more you need to know and many more stocks you can capitalize upon each and every day. To find out more, please click on the following link: www.markettamer.com/seasonal
By Gregg Harris, MarketTamer Chief Technical Strategist
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Gregg Harris is the Chief Technical Strategist at MarketTamer.com.
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