A Great Seasonal Pattern

A Great Seasonal Pattern

This is an impressive seasonal pattern. This stock has quite a record over the next 12 weeks. Not only a high ‘win rate' after 21 years, but also very …

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Will April Be A Losing Month?

Will April Be A Losing Month?

Over the next 4 weeks, the S&P 500 has a slightly positive track record. It has averaged a 1.5% gain, with gains in 26 out of the past 35 years. But the …

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Am I missing the rally?

Am I missing the rally?

Be careful about a ‘am I missing the big rally?' feeling. It's a seductive feeling, but like having an affair with a co-worker (remember, you're …

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An Important Test

An Important Test

Over the past two decades, a reliable way to determine the overall direction of the market has been whether the S&P 500 is above or below the 20-month moving …

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What a Difference a Day Makes!

What a Difference a Day Makes!

Seasonal analysis of stocks is the study of statistical patterns related to times of the year. But if you really want to optimize the potential gain and …

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Did You Jump Into POOL?

Did You Jump Into POOL?

On January 19th, 2016, my Tuesday morning posting was titled Time to Jump Into POOL? I pointed out that over the next 15 weeks, POOL had a 100% track record of …

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Is a Breakout Coming in This Stock?

Is a Breakout Coming in This Stock?

I do not trust this market. Too many companies are seeing declining revenues and earnings, and many stocks are showing signs of distribution. However there are …

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What Sectors Are Attracting Money?

What Sectors Are Attracting Money?

The S&P 500 has staged a nice rally over the past two weeks. It is up 7.8% from the mid-February low. But the stars of the month are not the major stock …

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Time For A Pause?

Time For A Pause?

I've pointed out numerous times over the years the regular 1.5 month cycle pattern evident in the S&P 500. Sometimes a cycle may be only a month wide, …

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