Is DIA Aiming For 18 Out Of 18?

On Monday, in Which ETF Has a 100% Track Record?, I pointed out that one index ETF had a 100% track record of gains over the next 6 weeks. It was the SPDRs Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA).

I wrote “…if we get a good reversal day this week in the markets, and you feel an urge to take a chance on a major index ETF, DIA, a bet on the basic Dow Industrials, would be your best bet based on history.”

At the time, DIA was headed back towards its 50-day moving average, falling along with the rest of the market:

All the big traders must be reading my articles since a rebound started right at Monday's open. DIA is up 3.0% since then:

On Monday, I also commented “Options on DIA may be relatively cheap as DIA's IV would be close to 12-month lows”

At Monday's open, you could have considered a relatively conservative, in-the-money DIA March 165 call as an alternative trade. The DIA March 165 priced around 11.25 at that time.

As of Thursday's close, following DIA's 3% climb this week, that call is now up 30%. Another way to trade DIA's seasonal pattern would have been to buy a bull call spread. A long DIA Jan 170 call/short DIA Jan 175 call spread would now be holding a 27% gain.

I don't know how much further this rebound will go. In some stocks I see failure to break above resistance. But in other stocks, it looks like new buying is coming in. But at least DIA is off and running, and if the gains hold, DIA will improve its 6-week seasonal pattern to 18 gains in 18 years.

Of course, there's much more you need to know and many more stocks you can capitalize upon each and every day.  To find out more, please click on the following link: www.markettamer.com/seasonal

By Gregg Harris, MarketTamer Chief Technical Strategist

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Gregg Harris is the Chief Technical Strategist at MarketTamer.com.

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MarketTamer is not an investment advisor and is not registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Further, owners, employees, agents or representatives of MarketTamer are not acting as investment advisors and might not be registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory.


This company makes no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email, and makes no representations or warranties concerning said company or entity’s compliance with applicable laws and regulations, including, but not limited to, regulations promulgated by the SEC or the CFTC. The sender of this email may receive a portion of the proceeds from the sale of any products or services offered by a company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email. The recipient of this email assumes responsibility for conducting its own due diligence on the aforementioned company or entity and assumes full responsibility, and releases the sender from liability, for any purchase or order made from any company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email.


The content on any of MarketTamer websites, products or communication is for educational purposes only. Nothing in its products, services, or communications shall be construed as a solicitation and/or recommendation to buy or sell a security. Trading stocks, options and other securities involves risk. The risk of loss in trading securities can be substantial. The risk involved with trading stocks, options and other securities is not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must evaluate his/her own personal financial situation and consider all relevant risk factors. See: Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. The www.MarketTamer.com educational training program and software services are provided to improve financial understanding.


The information presented in this site is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Nothing in our research constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice. Our research is prepared for general circulation and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive or obtain access to it. Our research is based on sources that we believe to be reliable. However, we do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of our research, the completeness, or correctness or make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using our research. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither we, any of our affiliates, nor any other person, shall have any liability whatsoever to any person for any loss or expense, whether direct, indirect, consequential, incidental or otherwise, arising from or relating in any way to any use of or reliance on our research or the information contained therein. Some discussions contain forward looking statements which are based on current expectations and differences can be expected. All of our research, including the estimates, opinions and information contained therein, reflects our judgment as of the publication or other dissemination date of the research and is subject to change without notice. Further, we expressly disclaim any responsibility to update such research. Investing involves substantial risk. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and a loss of original capital may occur. No one receiving or accessing our research should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own personal financial advisor and conducting his or her own research and due diligence, including carefully reviewing any applicable prospectuses, press releases, reports and other public filings of the issuer of any securities being considered. None of the information presented should be construed as an offer to sell or buy any particular security. As always, use your best judgment when investing.