McDonald's's most recent trend suggests a bullish bias. One trading opportunity on McDonald's is a Bull Put Spread using a strike $175.00 short put and a strike $165.00 long put offers a potential 20.92% return on risk over the next 27 calendar days. Maximum profit would be generated if the Bull Put Spread were to expire worthless, which would occur if the stock were above $175.00 by expiration. The full premium credit of $1.73 would be kept by the premium seller. The risk of $8.27 would be incurred if the stock dropped below the $165.00 long put strike price.
The 5-day moving average is moving down which suggests that the short-term momentum for McDonald's is bearish and the probability of a decline in share price is higher if the stock starts trending.
The 20-day moving average is moving up which suggests that the medium-term momentum for McDonald's is bullish.
The RSI indicator is at 65.25 level which suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at this time.
To learn how to execute such a strategy while accounting for risk and reward in the context of smart portfolio management, and see how to trade live with a successful professional trader, view more here
LATEST NEWS for McDonald's
Judge acquits 3 Chicago officers of Laquan McDonald cover-up
Fri, 18 Jan 2019 01:34:38 +0000
CHICAGO (AP) — A judge on Thursday acquitted three Chicago officers of trying to cover up the 2014 shooting of Laquan McDonald, dismissing as just one perspective the shocking dashcam video of the black teenager's death that led to protests, a federal investigation of the police department and the rare murder conviction of an officer.
McDonald's (MCD) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know
Thu, 17 Jan 2019 22:45:10 +0000
McDonald's (MCD) closed at $181.11 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.98% move from the prior day.
Stocks Not Getting Much Liftoff; Dow Jones Lags
Thu, 17 Jan 2019 17:01:06 +0000
This week has served as a spotlight on the bank stocks. Many have delivered strong results, but Morgan Stanley stumbled Thursday.
See what the IHS Markit Score report has to say about Mcdonald's Corp.
Thu, 17 Jan 2019 13:01:22 +0000
# Mcdonald's Corp
### NYSE:MCD
View full report here!
## Summary
* Perception of the company's creditworthiness is negative
* Bearish sentiment is low
* Economic output in this company's sector is expanding
## Bearish sentiment
Short interest | Positive
Short interest is extremely low for MCD with fewer than 1% of shares on loan. This could indicate that investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices are not currently targeting MCD.
## Money flow
ETF/Index ownership | Neutral
ETF activity is neutral. The net inflows of $11.70 billion over the last one-month into ETFs that hold MCD are not among the highest of the last year and have been slowing.
## Economic sentiment
PMI by IHS Markit | Positive
According to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Consumer Services sector is rising. The rate of growth is strong relative to the trend shown over the past year, and is accelerating.
## Credit worthiness
Credit default swap | Negative
The current level displays a negative indicator. Although MCD credit default swap spreads are decreasing, they remain near their highest levels of the last 3 years, which indicates the market's more negative perception of the company's credit worthiness.
Please send all inquiries related to the report to score@ihsmarkit.com.
Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.
This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
7 Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens
Wed, 16 Jan 2019 15:29:49 +0000
The financial markets had a turbulent and volatile 2018, with many storylines and themes changing multiple times over the course of the year. But one financial market theme that remained constant through the volatility was a strong dollar.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, bottomed around 90 in early 2018 during global financial market turmoil. Over the rest of the year, the U.S. Dollar Index steadily gained towards the upper 90's, even amid the big selloff in late 2018.
This trend has changed course over the past month. Specifically, the U.S. Dollar Index peaked around 98 in mid-December, and has since consistently fallen towards 95, its lowest level since October. Why? There's renewed optimism regarding a trade war resolution, and hope that while the global economy is slowing, it's not slowing as much as feared. Also, the Fed has grown increasingly dovish over the past few weeks, signalling fewer rate hikes than previously anticipated.
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But a weaker dollar is good news for some companies, such as multinationals with significant overseas sales exposure and foreign stocks with mitigated sales exposure to the U.S. Many of these stocks were hampered by a strong dollar in 2018. But, if the dollar continues to weaken in 2019, these stocks could have room to run higher as a major headwind is removed from the equation.
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With this in mind, let's take a look at seven stocks to buy as the U.S. dollar weakens.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: McDonald's (MCD)
Source: Shutterstock
At the top of the list is McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), the multinational food giant which not only gets a majority of its revenue and profits from international markets, but whose international operations are also more profitable and growing faster. Therefore, as the dollar weakens and those businesses start to earn more in term of U.S. dollars, MCD stock should benefit.
Last year, roughly 65% of the company's total revenues and nearly 60% of total operating profits came from outside of the U.S. Moreover, comparable sales growth in the U.S. was just 3.6% last year, versus 5% and up overseas. Also, U.S. company operated margins hovered around 16% in 2017. International company operated margins were north of 17%.
Overall, as goes the international business, so goes McDonald's. Thus, as the international business becomes increasingly valuable against a weakening dollar, MCD stock should naturally rise.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Alibaba (BABA)
Source: Shutterstock
The plunge in Chinese stocks started in early 2018, when the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly against the Chinese yuan. That strengthening diluted the value of U.S. listed Chinese stocks, and that dilution — on top of concerns regarding weakening growth — caused all Chinese stocks to drop in a big way. That included shares of Chinese internet giant Alibaba (NYSE:BABA).
But the fundamentals underlying Alibaba remain very strong. This is still the premiere e-commerce and cloud company in a 6%-plus growth economy supported by healthy demographic trends. Despite those tailwinds, the stock now trades at a rather anemic sub-30x forward multiple (revenues grew by over 50% last quarter).
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All this stock needs to explode higher is a few good catalysts. One such catalyst is a weakening dollar. The other is positive progress on U.S.-China trade talks. Those two are tied together, and both are starting to move in favor of Alibaba. As such, now seems like as good a time as any for a big BABA stock around.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Baidu (BIDU)
Source: Shutterstock
Another Chinese stock that plunged with a strengthening U.S. dollar but is now set to rebound as the dollar weakens is Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU).
For those who are unaware, Baidu is the company behind China's leading search engine, and as such, is often called the Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) of China. As the Google of China, Baidu has established itself as the backbone of China's burgeoning internet economy. There have been some hiccups in the road, but the company has always successfully navigated around them and — much like Google- – Baidu has found itself as a largely consistent 20%-plus revenue grower.
At current levels, BIDU stock is pretty cheap with a mere 15x forward multiple. Google trades at over 20x forward earnings, and Google is growing revenues at a slower clip than Baidu. Thus, the 15x forward multiple on BIDU stock doesn't make much sense and should ultimately be corrected with a few positive catalysts.
One such positive catalyst will be the weakening of the U.S. dollar. If dollar weakness persists and U.S.-China trade talks continue to make progress towards a resolution, BIDU stock could be in store for a major rally from multi-year lows.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Coca Cola (KO)
Source: Coca-Cola
One multinational giant that is set to benefit in a sizable way from U.S. dollar weakness is Coca Cola (NYSE:KO).
Much like McDonald's, most of Coca-Cola's revenues, profits, and growth come from international markets. Specifically, last year, only ~25% of the company's revenues came from North America. Presumably, most of that was from the United States. Still, at most, the U.S. represented just about 20% of Coca-Cola's total revenues in 2017. Roughly a third of operating profits came from North America, so maybe about 25% came from the U.S. Meanwhile, volume growth in North America was flat, while it was positive in some other international geographies.
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Broadly speaking, then, the KO growth story is one led and driven by international growth. As the dollar weakens, that international growth becomes more valuable in terms of U.S. dollars, and the entire KO growth story becomes more valuable, too. As such, dollar weakness should lead to a KO stock rally.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Netflix (NFLX)
Source: Shutterstock
Although this stock is often viewed as being in a different category than McDonald's and Coca Cola, streaming giant Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) actually shares a few prominent parallels with the aforementioned consumer staples giants. Namely, all three are international driven growth stories that benefit from a weaker dollar.
Netflix is still growing by leaps and bounds in the U.S. But, the majority of the growth is happening outside of the U.S. Last quarter, the U.S. streaming business grew revenues by 25% with just over 1 million net ads. In contrast, the international streaming business grew revenues by nearly 50% with almost 6 million net ads. Also, when investors and analysts talk about how big Netflix can be, those discussions almost entirely revolve around the international market, since the consensus belief is that the U.S. market is nearing saturation.
Overall, Netflix is a multinational giant with an international driven growth story. As such, this company and stock are winners when the dollar weakens.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Tesla (TSLA)
Source: Tesla
When talking about growth giants with international driven growth stories, streaming giant Netflix and electric vehicle pioneer Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) fall into the same boat.
Tesla had a breakthrough back half of 2018 as the company achieved a sizable profit for the first time in several years — and did so while accelerating Model 3 production and delivery to mainstream levels. But all those positive developments happened almost entirely on the domestic front. The Model 3 has yet to really scratch the surface internationally.
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That will change in 2019. One of Tesla's biggest focus is producing and delivering Model 3 vehicles all around the world this year. As the company does this, the TSLA growth narrative will become increasingly internationally driven. The more internationally driven this growth narrative becomes, the more a weak dollar will help TSLA stock.
### Stocks to Buy as the Dollar Weakens: Weibo (WB)
Source: Shutterstock
Back to the list of Chinese stocks to buy before they benefit from a weaker dollar. There is a lesser known but just as compelling Chinese stock: social-media giant Weibo (NASDAQ:WB).
Many investors and analysts like to call Weibo the Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) of China, given overlaps in the companies' core social media platforms. Those comparisons make sense. But, Weibo is much bigger (nearly 450 million monthly active users versus under 330 million at Twitter). Weibo is also growing more quickly (44% revenue growth last quarter, versus 29% at Twitter), and is more profitable (42% adjusted EBITDA margins last quarter, versus 39% at Twitter).
Despite Weibo being bigger, faster growing, and more profitable, Twitter stock is deemed more valuable and expensive by the market. Weibo has a $12 billion market cap. Twitter is valued at essentially twice that. Weibo stock trades at 17 forward earnings. Twitter's forward multiple is above 35.
Overall, Weibo stock is just way too cheap to ignore here. And all it will take for a rip-your-face-off rally is a few positive catalysts. A weakening U.S. dollar is one. Positive trade talks is another. Stabilizing economic growth in China is a third. If all those boxes get checked off, this stock could soar in a big way.
As of this writing, Luke Lango was long BIDU, GOOG, NFLX, TSLA, WB, and TWTR.
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