What Are Bond Traders Thinking?

What Are Bond Traders Thinking?

TLT is the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond Fund ETF. It reflects the prices of longer-term bonds. A bond ETF doesn't usually capture my attention. But this one …

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Consumer Staples a Defensive Move?

Consumer Staples a Defensive Move?

In Friday's posting (Missed the Train in the Semi Sector?) I covered the negative seasonal pattern in the Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH). While the …

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What Should You Do With This Stock?

What Should You Do With This Stock?

On Friday, I offered a very simple way to determine extreme overbought status in my blog posting An Overstretched Rubber Band? I noticed some of you were in …

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What Might September Bring?

What Might September Bring?

This weekend I was reading William J. O'Neil's How to Make Money Selling Stocks Short. I've owned his How to Make Money in Stocks for years and still find new …

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How Do I Judge a Market Pullback?

How Do I Judge a Market Pullback?

How do you judge a market pullback? Is it going to be relatively shallow followed by a quick rebound, or is it likely to widen into something bigger? No one …

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18.2% in 3 weeks

18.2% in 3 weeks

In the January 26th issue of Seasonal Forecaster I focused on Crane Co. (CR), saying “Crane manufactures industrial products  in four segments: …

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What Sector ETF Has A 100% Track Record?

What Sector ETF Has A 100% Track Record?

The major indexes do not have strong seasonal patterns right now. This is not surprising since a quarterly earnings season will be starting with Alcoa's …

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Is It Time To Buy Amazon.com?

Is It Time To Buy Amazon.com?

We are on the tail side of Christmas headed towards Q4 and full-year earnings reports in late January. Picking the stock of one of the top retailers and …

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Did You Miss The Rally?

Did You Miss The Rally?

In just two days the S&P 500 has jumped 4.4%, leaving behind another ‘V' bottom. After all, the average up move in the index is only 5.1%: Historically, …

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